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Table 4 Receiver operating characteristics of the proposed prediction model

From: Predictors of early rebleeding after endoscopic therapy of first variceal bleeding in liver cirrhosis

 

Role

Cutoff

Sensitivity

Specificity

LR+

LR−

AUC

Value

(95%CI)

Sig.

Proposed model

Rule out

≤ 0.10

98%

80%

4.96

0.03

0.965

(0.948–0.981)

< 0.0001

Rule in

≥ 0.90

43%

99.7%

129.8

0.57

  1. LR likelihood ratio, AUC area under the curve
  2. Risk grading of the proposed prediction model: grade 1 (Low risk) if the predicted probability ≤ 10%; grade 3 (high risk) if the predicted probability ≥ 90%, and grade 2 (moderate risk) for other values