Egyptian Liver Journal

Table 4 Receiver operating characteristics of the proposed prediction model

From: Predictors of early rebleeding after endoscopic therapy of first variceal bleeding in liver cirrhosis

	Role	Cutoff	Sensitivity	Specificity	LR+	LR−	AUC
	Role	Cutoff	Sensitivity	Specificity	LR+	LR−	Value	(95%CI)	Sig.
Proposed model	Rule out	≤ 0.10	98%	80%	4.96	0.03	0.965	(0.948–0.981)	< 0.0001
Proposed model	Rule in	≥ 0.90	43%	99.7%	129.8	0.57	0.965	(0.948–0.981)	< 0.0001

LR likelihood ratio, AUC area under the curve
Risk grading of the proposed prediction model: grade 1 (Low risk) if the predicted probability ≤ 10%; grade 3 (high risk) if the predicted probability ≥ 90%, and grade 2 (moderate risk) for other values

Back to article page